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Swiss Re: It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.7% in 2026. Swiss Re released the latest sigma report, and the world economy is expected to maintain steady growth in the next two years, but the downside risks will rise. It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.8% and 2.7% in 2025 and 2026, which is basically the same as that in 2024.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange opened 0.2% lower at 23,228.26."Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea" is scheduled for the first day of 2025, and "Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea" is scheduled for the first day of 2025.

Five departments, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, jointly deployed the "One-month-one-chain" financing for small and medium-sized enterprises to promote the nationwide activities. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China, the General Administration of Financial Supervision and the China Securities Regulatory Commission recently jointly issued the Notice on Launching the "One-month-one-chain" financing for small and medium-sized enterprises to promote the nationwide activities, so as to accelerate the construction of small and medium-sized enterprises' financing, promote a good ecology and help them develop with high quality. The theme of the "One Chain in January" SME financing promotion activities nationwide is "One Chain in January is beneficial to the smooth integration of enterprises", focusing on key SME groups such as high-quality SMEs and key nodes in the industrial chain, giving play to the role of "share, loan, insurance and burden" comprehensive financing means, and guiding financial resources to support SMEs in the chain more accurately by organizing various docking activities. (Ministry of Industry and Information Technology)Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.Poly Real Estate's 7 billion yuan public bond project was updated to "accepted". On December 10th, according to the information disclosure of Shanghai Stock Exchange, Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. plans to publicly issue corporate bonds with a total amount of 7 billion yuan to professional investors in 2024. At present, the project status has been updated to "accepted". Huatai United Securities is the underwriter of this bond issue, and the bond type is public offering. The Shanghai Stock Exchange has updated the project on December 9, 2024.

The yen fell to a low point against the US dollar since November 29, which cooled down around the expectation of the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates this month. As the market expected the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates this month, the yen fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since the end of November. The yen once fell 0.2% against the US dollar to 151.55. Overnight index swap pricing shows that the probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in December is 28%.Google has developed a "quantum chip" with super computing power. On the 9th, Google announced that it has developed a chip with super computing power, which is suitable for quantum computers. It claims that this chip can complete the task that the existing fastest computer takes 10 years (10 to the 25th power) in just 5 minutes. On the same day, Google posted a message on the website saying that in addition to high-speed computing power, this chip named "Willow" also has outstanding error correction ability, paving the way for the development of "practical large-scale quantum computers".President united steelworkers union: The acquisition of Nippon Steel in Japan may mean the long-term decline of American steel companies. The head of the largest trade union in North America said that there is no guarantee from Nippon Steel to ensure that American steel companies will not decline after the acquisition. A few days ago, Nippon Steel of Japan proposed a $15 billion acquisition of American steel companies, which was opposed by Biden and Trump. The acquisition will be subject to the national security review of the Committee on Foreign Investment (CFIUS) later this month. United steelworkers union Chairman David McCall was interviewed on Monday. On that day, Nippon Steel announced the details of various commitments it had made to gain union support, including job security and investment in facilities. Mccall said that one of his biggest concerns is that Nippon Steel may export steel products to the United States through its international steel mills, which he feared would weaken the position of American steel companies. Mccall said: "When we discuss with Nippon Steel, nothing can guarantee that their commitment is feasible in the long run." Nippon Steel previously denied that it would import steel from its international steel mills after reaching an agreement, and repeatedly said that its goal is to become a "member" of the United States, and the American market is crucial to its future growth.